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India EV Market to Reach $2.5 Billion in 2024

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The Indian electric vehicle market or EV is projected to grow by 26.4% annually, reaching a total value of $2.5 billion by 2024.

The India Electric Vehicle and Charging Infrastructure Market Databook predicts a 30% CAGR in electric vehicle adoption from 2024-2028, reaching $7.2 billion by 2028, as per a ResearchAndMarkets report.

Growth drivers:

The sector is expected to experience significant investment growth in the medium term due to the rapidly expanding competitive landscape.

Innovative start-ups raising venture capital and private equity to expand distribution and launch new products will be the main growth drivers.

EV start-ups are launching funding rounds to invest in research and development, as well as expand their distribution network.

Funding trends:

River, an electric vehicle start-up based in Bengaluru, secured $40 million in a Series B funding round in February 2024.

Yamaha Motor led the Series B round, with Al-Futtaim Automotive, Toyota Ventures, Lower carbon Capital, and Maniv Mobility as current investors. The company plans to utilize the funding infusion to enhance its Indian distribution and service network, while also allocating a portion of its earnings to research and development.

Ola Electric secured $50 million from EvolutionX Debt Capital for a lithium-ion cell plant in Tamil Nadu. It plans to raise $660 million and spend Rs 16 billion on R&D before public offering.

Zypp Electric raised $15 million in a Series C round in May 2024, aiming to expand its fleet from 21,000 to 200,000 e-scooters in 15 Indian cities by 2025, potentially influencing the market’s competitive landscape.

Tata Motors paving the way?

Tata Motors’ TPEM division led the Indian passenger electric vehicle market, registering a 48% increase in FY 2024, accounting for 13% of the company’s total volume.

The company plans to invest between Rs 160 billion and Rs 180 billion in its electric vehicle division by FY 2030, aiming for 30% of its total volume.

The company plans to introduce ten new electric vehicles by FY 2030, including the Harrier EV and the Tata Curvv mid-size, to boost its market share and promote electric vehicles, including the Harrier EV.

TPEM plans to expand its retail channel in 50 Indian cities and strengthen charging infrastructure with partnerships with Hindustan Petroleum, Shell, and Bharat Petroleum, aiming for 100,000 charging points by FY 2030.

Global EV manufacturers setting shop in India:

Global EV makers plan to establish EV plants in India by 2024, aiming to capitalize on the Indian market’s strong growth potential over the next five years.

On the other hand, the government mandates Indian companies to manufacture before selling to customers, thereby facilitating their entry into the Indian market.

Vietnam-based VinFast plans to build an electric vehicle plant in Tamil Nadu, with an initial investment of US$500 million, with a production capacity of 150,000 cars annually.

Tesla plans to enter the Indian market, investing in a manufacturing facility over the medium term, as the government encourages manufacturing in the country.


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What Is Fueling India’s EV Growth?

Sonal Desai


According to Motor Intelligence, the size of the Indian electric vehicle (EV) market is projected to be $34.8 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.92% to reach $120 billion by 2030.

Based on speed, the market is divided into three segments, according to Custom Market Insights: less than 100 mph, 100 to 125 mph, and more than 125 mph. With a market share of 45% in 2022, less than 100 mph dominated the market and is predicted to continue to do so throughout the forecast period of 2024–2032, significantly influencing the EV market.

EVs have a bright future in India:

India’s EV sales are still quite low, the report notes. China’s market may have reached a certain level of maturity, but the elimination or reduction of some subsidies in China, Europe, and India has hurt the country’s chances of making more sales in the future.

All these factors, including new emissions regulations like those proposed by the US Environmental Protection Agency, a resurgence of interest in the commercial fleet market, and recent price reductions for many EV models, should continue to drive growth.

Moreover, targeted legislative incentives are providing the growth impetus.

So, what is changing in India?

EV sales will be able to continue growing at their current rates, especially in Europe. However, it seems that things are going differently in Developing economies and emerging markets (EMDEs). For instance, companies like Exicom in India are starting to look to the capital markets to finance their expansion into electric vehicles. Announcements of new capital projects and increased capacity for battery production are positive indicators for the global industry.

Concessional financing has aided in the development of mass transit public transportation in EMDE areas. Examples of these projects include Senegal’s all-electric Bus Rapid Transit system, which is partially funded by the World Bank, and India’s deployment of 50,000 electric buses along with charging infrastructure.

By 2030, India wants to sell 30% of its cars as electric vehicles. The Indian government has introduced various schemes, including grants and subsidies, to stimulate the development of alternative fuel infrastructure and spur the expansion of charging stations. Two of these stand out:

i. Duty Reduction for EV Imports: Under the new regulations, vehicles with a minimum CIF value of $35,000 and above will only pay 15% of customs duty. The program will be in effect for five years, provided the manufacturer establishes domestic facilities within three years of going on sale.

ii. After the successful launch of FAME 2, the Indian government is expected to unveil the Rs 10,000 crore FAME 3 scheme within the first 100 days of its tenure. The program will be similar to FAME 2, which came to an end in March 2024, and will offer financial incentives for government-owned buses, three-wheelers, and electric two-wheelers.

The global scenario:

A new World Energy Investment report states that because of the recent drop in battery prices and the ongoing price wars among EV manufacturers as they fight for market share, the transportation industry may grow even slower than in the past.

EV sales in certain significant EMDE are poised to soar due to the arrival of Chinese manufacturers in Latin America and the expansion of the EV industry in India. Policies like the US Inflation Reduction Act and Europe’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism that aim to onshoring manufacturing capacity should lead to an increase in spending on EV production outside of China.


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How can Maharashtra retain dominance in the EV market?

Renjini Liza Varghese


Will Maharashtra retain its dominance as an EV market leader?

When it comes to the nation’s highest concentration of EVs—including cars, two-wheelers, and buses—Maharashtra is in first place. The state has witnessed a record increase in the adoption of electric vehicles of roughly 130%.

According to data from the Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Company (MSEDCL), there are 3,073 EV charging stations in the state overall, with the greatest number of them—1,894—found in the Pune district alone.

Here’s a breakdown of the state’s progress.

Favorable policy:

To become the leading EV producer by 2025, Maharashtra unveiled its EV Policy in 2021. The first 100,000 electric two-wheelers sold will be eligible for subsidies, which include a maximum incentive of ₹10,000 and an incentive of ₹5,000 per kWh of battery capacity.

Boosting charging infrastructure:

Tata Power has installed 19 fast charging points on the Mumbai-Pune highway and 26 on the Mumbai-Goa (via Pune) highway.

They intend to gradually install an additional 4000 charging stations throughout Maharashtra. The goal is to expand the reach of EV charging infrastructure and ensure that these facilities are powered by 100% renewable energy sources.

This expansion will significantly address range anxiety, a major concern for potential EV buyers.

Leading the charge in public transport:

The Maharashtra State Road Transport Corporation (MSRTC) is actively transitioning its fleet to electric.

Presently, 137 of the approximately 14500 buses that MSRTC currently operates every day throughout the state are electric. The entity has decided to add 5,150 more electric buses over the next two years as part of this ambitious plan. This is in sync with Maharashtra’s ambitious target of achieving a fully electric public transport system by 2030.

The way forward:

Many states including Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Gujarat, and Goa are inching closer to achieving their EV targets–each state announcing an equally competitive strategy and incentives to support the industry. Maharashtra can retain the top spot as it has an added advantage–it houses one of the largest auto hubs in the country. This is the best chance for the state government to engage with the entire value chain and steer the industry in the right direction.

 


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“Inclusive” Dominated Budget 2024

Renjini Liza Varghese


The Budget 2024 is an interim budget.

Though being populist, Nirmala Sitharaman, Union Finance Minister, carefully and successfully has traded on the inclusive lines or, in simple words, kept it women (rural) centric.

The re-definition of GDP to Governance, Development and Performance, while being a welcome move, must be taken with a pinch of salt, though.

Ms Sitharaman charts a clear picture for ‘Vikasit Bharat by 2047’.

The key highlights of the renewed focus are the ‘garib (poor)’, ‘women’, ‘yuva (the youth)’ and ‘kisan (farmer)’.

Starting with the point of inclusive development and growth, the FM highlights increased focus on the Northeastern states of India to promote geographic inclusivity and diversity.

She cements the government strategy with updates on various schemes like Housing for All, Electricity for All, Har Ghar jal, Cooking gas, and Banking services for All.

Empowering people and making social justice a necessary and effective governance model has been another key point in today’s budget speech. Ms Sitharaman underscores the continued efforts of the government toward access to equal opportunities, popular welfare and an outcomes-based focus.

I appreciate the focus on diversity and inclusion that dominated the budget speech in many forms. I am reading it as a positive step for sustainable (sustainability) growth.

“Female enrolment in STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) courses have seen a 43 percent spike, one of the highest in the world,” she states.

No doubt this will reflect in women participation in the workforce. Especially at a time when Indian companies are seriously implementing DEI in the workforce. While the global peers are much ahead, this shows that India is fast catching up.

Most notable were her mentions about the triple talaq, reservation of 1/3 seats for women in Parliament and state Assemblies, and allotting about 70 percent houses under PM Awas Yojana to women as owners or co-owners.

Climate action:

In a welcome move, the budget speech acknowledges the importance of climate action initiatives. Fresh bilateral packets with foreign partners are a positive move, considering the funding constraints in the segment. Reiterating the government’s target to achieve net-zero by 2070, the FM details the supporting initiates.

For one, India will set up three major economic railway corridors for energy, mineral and energy to reduce congestion and logistics costs.

Green energy and transport:

The FM has outlined a clear charter for green energy. The wind power segment which was sidelined for a couple of years, is back in focus with offshore wind power.

Some of the key announcements are:

  • Viability Gap Funding (VGF) to harness offshore wind potential for 1 GW.
  • Roof-top-Solar installations on 1 crore households providing upto 300 units free units on a monthly basis.
  • Coal gasification or liquefaction to the tune of  100 metric tonnes by 2030.
  • Phased mandatory blending of compressed biogas, uncompressed natural gas
  • Financial assistance for EV manufacturing and charging infrastructure 
  • E-buses for public transport

Eco-friendly

The FM has earned applause with a major announcement in the form of the launch of a bio-manufacturing and bio-foundry. She states that these units will drive eco-friendly alternatives like bio-polymers, bio-plastics, bio-pharma and bio-agri inputs.

This, according to the Finance minister, will bring in a landscape change from consumptive manufacturing to regenerative manufacturing.

“Blue economy” also finds a mention along with the green initiatives. Ms Sitharaman states that under Blue Economy 2.0, efforts will be made to restore coastal areas with a focus on aqua and marine culture.

Port connectivity in island cities to boost tourism and the local economy is also a welcome announcement.

Our take:

Though Ms Sitharman focuses on women and climate action, there were no surprises in the budget. Green hydrogen, carbon credit/ trading, a clear target of energy transition/ EV adoption, skilling for green jobs and financing challenges are missing from the budget speech.

Considering this is an interim budget, I am hoping that these issues will be addressed with detailed outlays and policy updates in July.


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Charging and Range Concerns in Slowing EVs Demand; S&P Survey

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Electric vehicles or EVs adoption have been widely promoted as part of net-zero targets. However, there are still concerns that are keeping consumers away from shifting to e-vehicles. According to a survey by S&P Global Mobility, the two most prominent reasons are affordability and infrastructure concerns.

Battery EVs are getting closer to price parity with their internal combustion siblings.

The price range concerns are not just a US-market phenomenon. It’s affecting consumers worldwide, even in regions where EVs have made significant market inroads.

Highlights

  • Almost half (48%) of the 7,500 respondents globally consider EV prices to be too high.
  • Consumer sentiment toward buying an EV has cooled considerably over the last two years.
  • Despite an increased number of EVs available and improved consumer awareness of tax credits and benefits, fewer than half of respondents believe the EV technology is ready for mass market adoption.
  • Only 42% of respondents are considering an EV for their next vehicle purchase, and 62% of respondents are waiting until the technology improves before purchasing a new vehicle.
  • Charging concerns are second only to vehicle costs.
  • About 46% of respondents are concerned about the time required for charging.
  • 44% are concerned about the availability of charging stations.

“Pricing is still very much the biggest barrier to electric vehicles,” said Yanina Mills, Senior Technical Research Analyst, S&P Global Mobility.

How things have changed 

Initially, consumer interest was smothered by the limited variety of available EV models. Just 58% of 2019 S&P Global Mobility survey respondents were open to purchasing an EV, as luxury-priced models dominated the early EV market. Just a handful of mainstream models, like the Chevrolet Bolt, Nissan Leaf, and Tesla Model 3, were available at that time.

But 2021 saw a dramatic burst of consumer EV acceptance. Buyer willingness soared, with 86% of global respondents being open to acquiring an EV. Multiple factors stirred up these good feelings: New mainstream models from Ford, Hyundai, Kia, and Volkswagen hit the market. The pro-EV push in the US by the Biden administration and legislation in multiple US states and Europe banning future internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles further heightened visibility.

While 67% of the 8,000 participants surveyed in May 2023 were open to the idea of purchasing an EV—certainly higher than in 2019—it is a whopping 19 percentage point decline from 2021.


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L&T Finance, Ather Energy Partner for EV LTVs

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Non-Banking Financial Company (NBFC), L&T Finance has announced a partnership with Ather Energy for electric vehicles (EVs). As per the agreement, L&T Finance will provide up to 100% financing of the loan-to-value (LTV) of the EVs offered by Ather Energy to its customers.

The partnership at a glance

L&T Finance to offer loans @ 6.99% interest rate per annum
Customers can avail up to 100% of the Loan-to-Value (LTV) without any income proof
No hypothecation required
Less than 5 mins TAT
On the spot approvals

The offers:

Other customers can avail of EV financing under various lines of products from L&T Finance. These include:

  • Verified Income Proof (VIP) Loan, VIP Pro Loan, Sabse Khaas Loan (SKL), SKL Pro, Centum Loan, and Express Loan.
  • Except for Express Loan, the customers can avail the other loans at an annual rate of interest of 6.99% per annum
  • In the case of Express Loan, a product for all, customers are not required to submit any credit profile or income proof, but the annual rate of interest is 7.99% per annum
  • TAT of under 5 minutes and a loan tenure ranging from 3 months to 48 months

Commenting on the partnership, Mr. Sanjay Garyali, Chief Executive – Urban Finance, L&T Finance, said, “This partnership is a part of our company’s shared commitment to reduce carbon footprint and promote sustainability in India, aligning with our Lakshya 2026 strategy for environmental responsibility and CSR.”

The company expects strong growth in the Indian two-wheeler segment due to improved purchasing power, millennials’ increased mobility, and preference for technology-powered vehicles. Vehicle financing penetration is expected to rise to 75% in the coming years, L&T Finance said in a press release.

Mr. Ravneet Phokela, Chief Business Officer, Ather Energy said, “Today, more than 50% of Ather’s customers opt for vehicle financing as their preferred mode of purchasing our scooters. We are delighted that this collaboration with L&T Finance will allow us to further accelerate EV adoption. Their reach, credibility, and expertise will be a huge asset as we expand our distribution footprint to more geographies.”

It must be noted that L&T Finance has a Two-Wheeler Finance business book size of Rs. 9,190 crore as of the quarter ending June 2023. Ather claims to be India’s first intelligent electric vehicle manufacturer with a presence in 100+ cities across the country.


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